ClimatePrediction.net and Weather@Home

With high uncertainty, there is an increased probability that the models may over-estimate or under-estimate the speed and scale of climate change. If the models over-estimate it, we may invest huge amounts of money trying to avert a problem which isn’t as serious as the models suggest. Alternatively, if the models under-estimate the change, we will end up doing too little, too late in the mistaken belief that the changes in weather patterns will be small and gradual. To cope with this problem, we need to quantify the uncertainty in these predictions.

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